Dustin Poirier vs. Justin Gaethje Predictions For UFC 291: Fight Card, Odds, Prelims, Preview, Expert Selections


The UFC 291 marquee will feature the unmatched appetites for devastation of Dustin Poirier and Justin Gaethje. On Saturday, the rivals will square off in Salt Lake City for the continuation of their 2018 classic. The ceremonial BMF championship and a step toward contending for the UFC lightweight championship are at stake.

Although Poirier and Gaethje are two of the most brutal competitors in UFC history, knockouts and bonuses are insufficient to qualify them for the hall of fame. For two boxers who have often come close yet fallen short when it counts, a victory is essential. The time for Poirier and Gaethje to reach El Dorado is shrinking because they have both suffered defeats in UFC title fights twice. With a good performance on Saturday, could it be the third time’s the charm?

On Saturday, former middleweight champion Alex Pereira will make his light heavyweight debut. Jan Blachowicz, a former light heavyweight champion, will welcome Pereira up a weight division. After Jiri Prochazka and Jamahal Hill both had to give up their UFC light heavyweight titles due to injuries, the division is now very open. With a victory on Saturday, Blachowicz or Pereira would be well placed to compete for the title without a home.

At media day this week, Blachowicz stated, “UFC told me that after this fight, the following fight will be for the title, so nothing changed. I wish Jamahal Hill [very well] since he departed the belt. However, [Jiri] Prochazka might be my next opponent, and we’ll compete for the championship.

Additionally, live coverage of the bout will be available on CBS Sports with round-by-round scoring and blow-by-blow updates to keep you informed all night long.

Let’s look at the full fight schedule with the most updated odds from Caesars Sportsbook given all the events on Saturday night before we get to our staff picks and predictions for the event’s PPV component

Odds for the UFC 291 fight card odds obtained from Caesars Sportsbook, subject to change

  • Lightweights Justin Gaethje +125 vs. Dustin Poirier -150
  • Light heavyweight matchup: Jan Blachowicz vs. Alex Pereira, both 110
  • The heavyweight matchup between Derrick Lewis and Marcos Rogerio de Lima is at -230.
  • lightweights Tony Ferguson +310 vs. Bobby Green -400
  • Michael Chiesa +125 will face Kevin Holland at welterweight.
  • Trevin Giles +260 over Gabriel Bonfim -330 in a welterweight matchup.
  • Middleweights Claudio Ribeiro +170 vs. Roman Kopylov at odds of 200 to 1
  • The welterweight matchup between Jake Matthews and Darrius Flowers is at -260.
  • Flyweight matchup: CJ Vergara -150 vs. Vinicius Salvador +125
  • Welterweights Uros Medic and Matthew Semelsberger are matched at -210.
  • Priscila Cachoeira (+220) vs. Miranda Maverick (-270), women’s flyweights

The CBS Sports staff made predictions and picks for the main card in light of the significant main event that will be taking place. Your pick makers are listed below: A few of the contributors to “Morning Kombat” include Shakiel Mahjouri, Michael Mormile, Brent Brookhouse, Brian Campbell, and Brandon Wise, a senior editor.

Gaethje Campbell vs. Poirier

Both past interim titleholders have improved and changed in the five years since their first action classic. But the formula for their BMF title rematch is still the same: either Poirier, who is the more experienced dynamic and technical striker of the two, can withstand the storm long enough to dig in and finish Gaethje, or the championship rounds could get dicey against a fighter who is so skilled at making dramatic recoveries in the midst of heavy fire. Gaethje only ever succumbs to violent finishes, so if Poirier is swift without speeding and mindful of how quickly the tide may swing against him, a second violent finish—the only kind that works—is extremely likely.

Brookhouse: Gaethje is a warrior who has refined his strategy a great deal throughout the course of his career. To win this fight, Poirier needed to be a little bit slicker in his approach because he is still the better fighter all-around. There is no way to avoid getting hit in a fight like this; both men will. Before Poirier is able to get a late stoppage, Poirier’s many hits will begin to wear on Gaethje.

Mahjouri: Gaethje is becoming one of MMA’s most difficult opponents after making significant progress in managing chaos. However, Poirier has continued to hone his versatile offense and is still the superior boxer all around. Although Gaethje likely has a greater chance than he did in their previous encounter in 2018, Poirier ultimately prevails more frequently in this bout.

Wise: Even if the aforementioned points are all valid, I believe that Gaethje’s striking game’s evolution is what is still lacking. He no longer dives into the turmoil with both feet. Instead, he steadily dismantles his adversaries until they crumble. Gaethje defied expectations by defeating Rafael Fiziev without using his shield, proving once more how resilient he is in close quarters combat. When compared to Poirier, who was at the height of his powers, Gaethje feels like an entirely different fighter, despite the fact that historically the loser of the first encounter has a poor record in rematches. Although it will be difficult for me to see either of these warriors fall, the right side is the underdog.

Blachowicz vs. Pereira

Campbell: The former middleweight champion, who quickly moved into the title picture at 185 pounds thanks to an old kickboxing rivalry with Israel Adesanya, now enters a second UFC class and is poised for another title chance. Since the last two champions, Jiri Prochazka and Jamahal Hill, both had to give up their titles due to injuries soon after earning them, the light heavyweight division is still very open. If Jan Blachowicz, a previous champion, is defeated by Pereira on Saturday’s co-feature, Pereira will likely compete for the vacant title. He will need to demonstrate how his takedown defense and jiu-jitsu have improved under the guidance of former champion Glover Teixeira if he wants to defeat Blachowicz. The 40-year-old Blachowicz’s “The Legendary Polish Power” is no joke. But in his brief UFC career, Pereira, who has held light heavyweight titles in kickboxing, has managed to hit the decisive blow when it counts.

Brookhouse: It’s tough to pick on a man like Pereira. After all, Pereira quickly finished his first several UFC fights before finishing Israel Adesanya to win the middleweight title. Pereira jumps up to light heavyweight and immediately enters dangerous seas after losing the rematch. Simply put, Blachowicz strikes me as Pereira’s worst possible foe. He has excellent takedown skills and is large, muscular, and tough as nails. It stands to reason that Bllachowicz will be able to defeat Pereira if Adesanya could. Pereira will likely be on his back for the majority of this battle, provided Blachowicz doesn’t take even one shot to the head.

Mahjouri: Although Pereira’s crew will be fully aware of Blachowicz’s determination to take the fight to the ground, I’m not certain that Pereira can effectively overcome the gap to make a significant difference. The Blachowicz-Adesanya battle and this one have certain parallels, but they aren’t exact replicas of one another. More more than Adesanya, Pereira suits the light heavyweight physique. With a more experienced attacker, Blachowicz won’t be able to maneuver around this former middleweight champion with the same ease. Pereira is a formidable opponent. with. Blachowicz nevertheless possesses an underappreciated level of versatility, strategic thinking skills, and threat mitigation. I believe that the seasoned Blachowicz has what it takes to dominate his less skilled opponent and win by submission or decision.

Who wins UFC 291: How precisely do Poirier and Gaethje’s fights end? Visit SportsLine right away to get in-depth predictions on each fight at UFC 291 from the MMA expert who has won nearly $11,000 betting on MMA over the course of more than three years.

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